Time Series Analysis of a REIT Portfolio

| March 8, 2020

article image
Financial modeling is a technical application as old as finance itself. Traditionally performed through excel sheets and various DCF models, I wanted to set out and use Machine Learning to build a predictive model for the movement of an asset’s price. Within a two week project time period, I set out to analyze and build predictive SARIMAX (Seasonal Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogeneity) models to capture the movement of eight different Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). Before we get into the data, it is essential to first understand the nature of a REIT. REITs are just like any other financial asset in that ownership represents a “share” of a companies profit. These companies own and operate income-producing real estate and are usually centric to a particular sector of real estate type (data centers, retail properties, Senior/Assisted living communities, healthcare, etc…). There are two main types of REITS:

Spotlight

JDS Development Group

JDS is a real estate development, construction, and acquisition firm based in New York City specializing in raising the bar of luxury residential, hospitality, and mixed-use projects. Our team of industry leading professionals has a wide range of experience and unique expertise in the fields of design and construction, hands on project management, results driven sales and marketing, and real estate related financing stemming from experience in development and construction across New York and Miami.

OTHER ARTICLES

How Technology Is Enabling the Real Estate Process

Article | April 8, 2020

Almost everything right now is shifting to a virtual format. One of the big changes we’re adapting to is the revisions to the common real estate transaction, which all vary by state and locality. Technology, however, is making it possible for many of us to continue on the quest for homeownership, an essential need for all. Here’s a look at some of the elements of the process that are changing (at least in the near-term), due to stay-at-home orders and social distancing, and what you may need to know about each one if you’re thinking of buying or selling a home sooner rather than later.

Read More

Real Estate Investing and Financial Literacy

Article | April 8, 2020

Taking financial literacy into consideration will assist in forming a clear understanding of personal finance, how to plan for the future, and to achieve one’s financial goals. While such knowledge could be conveyed in high school, or earlier, it seldom is. For those who wish to invest in real estate, being financially literate is crucial in being a successful investor. This often results in leaving people who lack the necasarry knowledge with the belief that they are incapable of qualifying for a home loan. The key is gaining an education in real estate. A homebuyer or investor who skips doing their homework can end up facing a costly situation that can result in further financial hardship. However, real estate is an industry that’s regulated by an extensive set of laws and ordinances so it’s better to start small and focus on a particular niche in order to avoid becoming overwhelmed.

Read More

Utilizing your IRA to Buy and Sell Real Estate

Article | April 8, 2020

Self-directed IRAs are the less offered and lesser known of the IRA options. That’s simply because they’re seen as needing too much effort to utilize correctly. The truth is that self-directed IRAs aren’t as complicated as they’re made out to be. Especially if you have the right custodian who offers the services you need to successfully run your account. Similar to other IRA accounts, owners can still invest in stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. They can also invest in things like small businesses, boat slips, storage units, parking lots, land, and homes. Interested investors should seek legal advice, as well as input from an accountant and real estate agent for a well-rounded picture. They should also be familiar with the rules for the type of retirement account they’re using. Whether it is a Simple IRA, Roth or Traditional IRA, SEP IRA or Solo 401K, contribution limits still apply, and there are penalties for early withdrawals.

Read More
REAL ESTATE TECHNOLOGY

3 Things To Prioritize When Selling Your House

Article | April 8, 2020

Today’s housing market is full of unprecedented opportunities. High buyer demand paired with record-low housing inventory is creating the ultimate sellers’ market, which means it’s a fantastic time to sell your house. However, that doesn’t mean sellers are guaranteed success no matter what. There are still some key things to know so you can avoid costly mistakes and win big when you make a move. When inventory is low, like it is in the current market, it’s common to think buyers will pay whatever we ask when setting a listing price. Believe it or not, that’s not always true. Even in a sellers’ market, listing your house for the right price will maximize the number of buyers that see your house. This creates the best environment for bidding wars, which in turn are more likely to increase the final sale price. A real estate professional is the best person to help you set the best price for your house so you can achieve your financial goals.

Read More

Spotlight

JDS Development Group

JDS is a real estate development, construction, and acquisition firm based in New York City specializing in raising the bar of luxury residential, hospitality, and mixed-use projects. Our team of industry leading professionals has a wide range of experience and unique expertise in the fields of design and construction, hands on project management, results driven sales and marketing, and real estate related financing stemming from experience in development and construction across New York and Miami.

Events