Property market to bounce back in 2020

PropertyWire | January 10, 2020

The UK housing market will bounce back in 2020 now there’s less uncertainty about Brexit. This is according to Simon Lyons, who is chief executive of property development and investment group Enstar Capital, which is behind retail development plans for London’s Olympia and Paddington Station areas.  We now have stability and that counts a lot with foreign investors as they know they are not in for any surprises over the next decade. On the residential front, people will start feeling able to make decisions about moving that they have been holding off for the last three years. 2019 started off very gloomy but now we have lots to look forward to.

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Five short years ago, The Howard Hughes Corporation (HHC) was reborn as a public company. Hughes himself, this company’s successful and pioneering namesake, built a legacy that places him among the greatest entrepreneurs of the 20th century. In the 21st century, we remain inspired by his spirit, and focused on the challenging work ahead: to unlock value across a broad and increasingly diverse portfolio.


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REAL ESTATE TECHNOLOGY

First-time buyers, inventory expected to rebound in 2024

Zillow | March 25, 2022

The housing market is expected to return to pre-pandemic, 2019 norms — at least in terms of inventory and the share of purchases made by first-time home buyers — by 2024 according to a panel of housing market experts polled in the latest Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey. The dwindling supply of homes for sale has been a key driver of the recent explosion in U.S. home values, which have risen 32% in the past two years. Total inventory has fallen from a monthly average of 1.6 million units in 2018 and 2019 to just over 1 million in 2021, and monthly figures in 2022 are lower still. Inventory should return to a monthly average of 1.5 million units or higher in 2024, according to the largest group (38%) of respondents to Zillow's survey. But many are more optimistic — the second-largest group (36%) believes supply will bounce back to pre-pandemic levels in 2023, while 2025 earned the third-highest share of votes with 12%. Inventory and mortgage rates will determine how far and how fast home prices will rise this year and beyond. We are seeing new listings returning to the market, slowly, as we enter the hottest selling season of the year, but this supply deficit is going to take a long time to fill." Jeff Tucker, Zillow senior economist Return of the first-time home buyer The pandemic ushered in record-breaking price growth alongside rent hikes that made saving for down payments even more difficult. As a result, the share of first-time home buyers dropped from 45% in 2019 to 37% in 2021, according to a Zillow survey of recent buyers. First-time buyers should regain their pre-pandemic share of the market in a couple of years, according to the majority of experts polled, with 26% pointing to 2024, and 25% liking 2025. Eighteen percent of the experts polled did not believe the share of first-time buyers will rise above 45% until after 2030, despite millennials — the largest U.S. generation ever — aging well into their prime home-buying years before that time. Inflation considerations Inflation has already begun eroding the bottom lines of American households, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics noting rising costs for energy, housing and food as prime factors driving it to a four-decade high. Of the six categories considered, survey participants expect energy prices to increase the most over the course of 2022, followed by house prices, residential rents and food costs. Employee wages and stock prices were ranked fifth and sixth, respectively, rounding out the list. Price growth projections Pulsenomics founder Terry Loebs said the panel's average projections for home price growth in 2022 have been revised upward, from 6.6% three months ago to 9% in this survey. "Against the backdrop of tightening Fed policy and increasing mortgage rates, this more bullish outlook for home values suggests that home inventory shortages will remain the dominant price driver this year," Loebs said. "If price increases this year for homes, rents, energy, and food each exceed wage growth – as the panel expects – home affordability challenges will intensify further, especially for low- and moderate-income renters." Zillow economists forecast a 16.3% rise in typical home values from February through December. 1 This edition of the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey surveyed 109 housing market experts and economists between February 16 and March 2, 2022 to gather their predictions for the outlook of the housing market in 2022 and beyond. The survey was conducted by Pulsenomics, LLC on behalf of Zillow, Inc. The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey and any related materials are available through Zillow and Pulsenomics. About Zillow Group Zillow Group, Inc. is reimagining real estate to make it easier to unlock life's next chapter. As the most visited real estate website in the United States, Zillow® and its affiliates offer customers an on-demand experience for selling, buying, renting or financing with transparency and ease. Zillow Group's affiliates and subsidiaries include Zillow, Zillow Offers, Zillow Premier Agent, Zillow Home Loans, Zillow Closing Services, Zillow Homes, Inc., Trulia, Out East, ShowingTime, Bridge Interactive, dotloop, StreetEasy and HotPads. Zillow Home Loans, LLC is an Equal Housing Lender, NMLS #10287. About Pulsenomics Pulsenomics LLC is an independent research firm that specializes in data analytics, opinion research, new product and index development for institutional clients in the financial and real estate arenas. Pulsenomics also designs and manages expert surveys and consumer polls to identify trends and expectations that are relevant to effective business management and monitoring economic health. Pulsenomics LLC is the author of The Home Price Expectations Survey, The U.S. Housing Confidence Survey, The Housing Confidence Index, and The Transaction Sentiment Index. Pulsenomics, The Housing Confidence Index, The Transaction Sentiment Index, and The Housing Confidence Survey are trademarks of Pulsenomics LLC.

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INVESTMENTS

Lument Provides $16.8 Million to Acquire Affordable Housing Tower in Colorado

Lument | February 04, 2022

Lument recently closed a $16.8 million Fannie Mae DUS® loan to acquire Residences at Franklin Park, a 92-unit affordable multifamily community in Denver, Colorado. Timothy Hoppin, director at Lument, led the transaction. Closing this deal was particularly satisfying, as the loan will allow the sponsor to acquire this 92-unit property and preserve much-needed affordable housing in the Denver area, The sponsor was able to secure a new 20-year Housing Assistance Payment (HAP) contract that will help the community maintain safe, comfortable, and affordable housing." Hoppin The sponsor of the loan is Edgemark, a repeat Lument client and well-established presence in Colorado, Texas, and throughout the Midwest. The property will be managed by Selden Property Management, which currently oversees 17,000 units across Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, Texas, Illinois, Missouri, and Oklahoma. The Residences at Franklin Park was originally constructed in 1972 and renovated in 2011. The property consists of one 10-story building situated on 0.56 acres, and its 92 units include studios, one-bedrooms, and larger one-bedroom units with dens. All apartments include a full appliance package, laminate countertops, vinyl flooring in kitchen areas, and a private patio or balcony. Group amenities include a community room, laundry facility, and surface parking lot. About Lument ORIX Real Estate Capital Holdings, LLC, d/b/a Lument, is a subsidiary of ORIX Corporation USA. Lument is a national leader in commercial real estate finance. As the combined organization of legacy industry experts Hunt Real Estate Capital, Lancaster Pollard, and RED Capital Group, Lument delivers a comprehensive set of capital solutions customized for investors in multifamily, affordable housing, and seniors housing and healthcare real estate. Lument is a Fannie Mae DUS®, Freddie Mac Optigo®, FHA, and USDA lender. In addition, Lument offers a suite of proprietary commercial lending, investment sales, investment banking, and investment management solutions. Securities, investment banking, and advisory services are provided through OREC Securities, LLC, d/b/a Lument Securities, Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services are provided by OREC Investment Management, LLC, d/b/a Lument Investment Management. OREC Investment Management is registered as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

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BUYING/SELLING

Offerpad to Expand Into Five New Markets This Year, Bringing Its Convenient Home Buying and Selling Solutions to More Homeowners Across the Country

Offerpad | May 05, 2022

Offerpad, a leading tech-enabled platform for buying and selling residential real estate, revealed expansion plans that will bring the company’s top-rated1 solutions to residents in Cincinnati; Colorado Springs and Fort Collins, Colo.; Fort Myers, Fla.; and Fort Wayne, Ind. The expansion news comes on the heels of continued momentum with the company’s best quarter in Offerpad history. Earlier today the company reported first-quarter financial results announcing a year-over-year $1.1 billion revenue increase. At Offerpad, we do things differently. Bringing together technology with our local real estate expertise, we take buying and selling homes from stressful to seamless. Traditional real estate, especially in today’s competitive market, often leaves homeowners feeling out of control and uncertain. Our solutions provide buyers and sellers with the flexibility to act fast and take care of all their needs under one roof. Americans increasingly want more convenience and control over their transactions, and we’re excited to help more homeowners in these new markets.” Vaughn Bair, Offerpad Chief Real Estate Officer Offerpad is expected to complete its Fort Myers opening in the second quarter and plans to expand to Cincinnati and the additional three markets later this year. When these five markets open, buyers and sellers across 29 U.S. markets will have access to the company’s entire suite of solutions: Cash offers in just 24 hours with flexible closing dates, no showings or open houses, and free local moving services Custom listing solutions and dedicated local market expertise to help customers sell their home on the open market with the option to retain a cash offer as back up Home buying solutions that provide easy access to Offerpad’s inventory of homes for sale Access to home mortgage and title services Bundling selling, buying and financing solutions together to save thousands with Offerpad Bundle Rewards Offerpad is available in more than 1,700 cities and towns and 24 U.S. markets. For the remainder of 2022, Offerpad will focus on growing its footprint around regional hubs in the Midwest, Southeast and Southwest. Offerpad plans to begin hiring local real estate experts across all its new markets. Additionally, Offerpad plans to hire local home renovation vendors and develop partnerships with area homebuilders, real estate brokerages and agents. Offerpad currently offers a 3% referral fee to real estate agents who help a client sell to Offerpad. About Offerpad Offerpad’s mission is to deliver the best home buying and selling experience so you can spend less time ‘real estat-ing’ and more time living. From cash offers and flexible listing options to mortgages and buyer services, Offerpad has been helping homeowners since 2015. We pair our local expertise in residential real estate with proprietary technology to put you in control of the process and help find the right solution that fits your needs.

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REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT

Cadre Hires Dustin Cohn as CMO to Boost Awareness of Commercial Real Estate Among Main Street Investors

Cadre | April 21, 2022

Cadre, the technology-driven commercial real estate investment platform, announced the hire of Dustin Cohn as Chief Marketing Officer to continue driving awareness around the accessibility and advantages of real estate investing. With decades of experience across brand development and performance marketing, Cohn will report to Cadre Founder and CEO Ryan Williams to support Cadre's mission of democratizing commercial real estate (CRE) investing, a traditionally exclusive asset class. According to a recent survey, 73% of consumers earning $75k - $500k are interested in CRE, but only 14% are invested in it.1 This may be due to a number of misconceptions about the asset class. Many consumers assume CRE is exclusive to the ultra wealthy, institutions, or requires at least $100k to invest. There is also a knowledge gap about the benefits CRE can provide – by and large, consumers are worried about inflation (86%), they want to diversify their portfolios (68%), but many do not recognize CRE's potential for inflation-hedging or historically high risk-adjusted returns.2 Cadre, now with the help of Cohn, is working to dispel misconceptions by providing and promoting unprecedented access to CRE. At Cadre, we are keen to educate individuals about the financial opportunities the commercial real estate market can provide. I founded Cadre to serve those typically excluded from accessing high-quality assets and opportunities to build wealth. Dustin's proven experience reaching individuals and raising awareness is unparalleled, and I am eager to work with him as we bring the transparency, accessibility and liquidity of our platform to more people." Ryan Williams, Cadre Founder and CEO Cohn joins Cadre following its most successful quarter to date, as platform users rose by more than ~20% and the firm raised nearly as much capital from individual investors as it had throughout all of 2021. Cohn's experience helping consumers access wealth-building tools will help build off that momentum. Prior to Cadre, Cohn served as Head of Brand and Marketing for Marcus and Wealth Management at Goldman Sachs, leading the development of the Marcus brand—notably inventing its name—and launching a number of firsts for the storied firm, including its first-ever consumer advertising campaign and athlete sponsorship. He also led brand and marketing efforts for the firm's Asset Management division. "Cadre's platform already disrupted the status quo by giving individuals access to institutional-quality real estate," stated Cohn. "Commercial real estate is no longer just for the uber wealthy and institutions. For many consumers, the remaining barrier is simply awareness. A modern wealth-building tool is already available to individual investors right now, a few clicks away. I am honored to join the firm's mission to not only deliver this access, but also educate more investors that it exists." Cohn also has experience leading marketing for a number of global consumer brands. Prior to joining Goldman Sachs, he served as CMO for Jockey International, CMO for Optimer Brands, and spent several years at PepsiCo as Marketing Director for Gatorade and Propel. About Cadre Cadre is a groundbreaking technology-driven commercial real estate investment platform that offers both institutional and individual investors the opportunity to access expertly curated real estate assets with lower minimums, low fees, and unprecedented potential for liquidity. Via its data-driven and transparent approach, Cadre opens participation in a historically opaque and illiquid asset class. Along with its traditional investment offerings, Cadre also provides investors with the ability to pursue highly vetted commercial real estate opportunities and the opportunity to seek liquidity through its proprietary secondary market, a unique offering within the industry. Since Cadre's founding, Cadre has closed more than $4.5 billion in real estate transactions across 23 U.S. markets and delivered an 18+% average net IRR across all completed property sales,3 resulting in the return of more than $300 million of capital to Cadre investors to date.

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Spotlight

Five short years ago, The Howard Hughes Corporation (HHC) was reborn as a public company. Hughes himself, this company’s successful and pioneering namesake, built a legacy that places him among the greatest entrepreneurs of the 20th century. In the 21st century, we remain inspired by his spirit, and focused on the challenging work ahead: to unlock value across a broad and increasingly diverse portfolio.

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