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NAB RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY SURVEY Q2-2018

July 12, 2018

NAB’s Residential Property Index (a measure of sentiment among property professionals based on expectations for house prices and rents) fell 17 points to +6 in Q2 - its lowest level since mid-2016 and well below average (+14). Sentiment waned in all states, with the biggest falls in WA and NSW. QLD and VIC were also much softer. Confidence (based on future expectations for house prices and rents) also fell to a new survey low, pulled down mainly by NSW and VIC where the outlook for house prices was scaled back sharply. The outlook for rents remains positive in all states and is likely placing upward pressure on yields. Also on a positive note, housing demand from first home buyers continued to offset a reduction in demand from foreign buyers in new and established housing markets, with state government incentives and moderating house prices likely helping these buyers move onto the property ladder. Property professionals also said credit constraints are impacting housing markets more than they have for a number of years amid intensified lending scrutiny by banks and APRA-inspired tighter credit policies. NAB’s view is that the weakness in dwelling prices seen over the past year is likely to persist in 2018 and 2019 though we expect moderate rather than sharp price falls.

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Fifield Companies

Fifield Companies is an urban infill developer and acquirer of mid and high rise apartments, office projects in high barrier-to-entry, and supply constrained markets that contain exceptional demand characteristics. Over our 35 year history we have developed 60 buildings comprised of over 15 million square feet.

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NAB RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY SURVEY Q2-2018